Making predictions before elections in the Republic of Moldova means hazarding a guess. Such an action requires not only knowledge and intuition, but also a lot of luck and a special flair for anticipating last-minute backstage arrangements. However, the campaign for the snap parliamentary elections due on July 11 has kicked off, and based on current data and trends, we will analyze who the actors are and what chances they stand at the moment. A dirty election campaign is announced from the left wing, which seems ready to bring into play resources that are incomparable to those available to the right.
In the Republic of Moldova, where half the population wants to join the European Union and the other half the Eurasian Union, where the number of supporters of the union with Romania is increasing, but that of the USSR nostalgics does not seem to decrease, where unionist marches would still end in confrontations a few years ago, May 9th could not but be a new bone of contention for politicians, and also a reason for debate in society, especially since much of that society was educated in the Soviet spirit of the significance of this date.
The Nord Stream 2 pipeline, set to transport Russian gas straight to Germany, seems to have hit a few snags amidst growing opposition. Even if it does get finalized, Nord Stream 2 could prove useless due to Europe’s transition to alternative energy sources.
A religious movement in Poland, with ties in Brazil and ramifications within the Warsaw administration, is behind a drive to impose an ultra-conservative agenda in Catholic countries in the EU.
For a brief moment Russia looked like it was going to war with Ukraine, rallying a significant number of forces on the Ukrainian border, in Crimea and the Black Sea. The crisis has passed, momentarily, but the many critical problems in the region remain unsolved.
Former president Igor Dodon, the current leader of the Party of Socialists in the Republic of Moldova (PSRM), the largest party in the Moldovan Parliament, seems determined to cling to power, much like his predecessors. It was only a matter of time before Dodon moved from theory to practice. Therefore, at the end of last week, while on a visit to Moscow, Dodon mounted a fierce attack on the rule of law, namely on the Constitutional Court in Chișinău.
Along with Poland, Romania has always been the most skeptical-of-Russia country in Eastern Europe. This does not mean that the Russian influence is not felt in this country as well.
The organization of an early election in the Republic of Moldova has reactivated a number of false narratives, also used in the previous election campaign, about Maia Sandu and right-wing parties, especially the Action and Solidarity Party (PAS). The pro-Russian Socialists try to persuade voters that a win for the right-wing parties would spell economic and social disaster. Furthermore, it would put Moldova under Western control.
The hunt of a trophy-bear by a Prince of Lichtenstein is used as an opportunity to breathe new life into narratives depicting Romania as a Western colony. This disinformation seeks to capitalize on the wave of public outrage sparked by this story, which has already prompted a criminal investigation into poaching and illegal use of firearms.
Patriarch Daniel's urging Romanians to get vaccinated is the result of "secret deals" between him and the head of state, Klaus Iohannis, after the meeting they had in February. The fact that the Easter services were allowed this year would be the result of a trade-off between the Church and the Presidency, so that the ROC priests become promoters of vaccination.
President Maia Sandu and NATO are discussing the participation of the Republic of Moldova in a possible military conflict against Russia to defend the interests of the United States, pravdorub.md writes. Washington wants to create an even bigger coalition made up of states from Eastern Europe, starting Ukraine and including the Baltic States, Poland and Romania. The narrative about Maia Sandu’s intention to involve the Republic of Moldova in an armed conflict against Russia, or to attack the breakaway region of Transnistria, has been increasingly used by Kremlin-linked media and the Party of Socialists, particularly ahead of the early election on Moldova.
Maia Sandu has called an early election at the West’s bidding and is plunging the country into chaos and exposing the population to the risk of infection. Her goal is to bring the Republic of Moldova under the control of external forces and undermine traditional values. These fake narratives are promoted by the Socialists in response to Maia Sandu’s decision to call an early election.
Romania is ruled by foreign ambassadors, an online publication writes, referring to an older narrative used extensively in recent years by populist, nationalist or corrupt figures. This time, the argument used to support the narrative is a statement by Senate Speaker, Anca Dragu, who said she has regular meetings with representatives of the diplomatic corps.
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